#1
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Party 600 - value bet ~river, tptk against big fishy
She is 42/6/0.7 over 500. I've only seen her open once before, and it was a standard 3x raise with KK, and she stacked some TAG trying to bluff her.
Anyways, simple question. Value bet river? Party Poker, $3/$6 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter UTG: $1,188.40 CO: $815 BTN: $1,068.87 SB: $981.54 Hero (BB): $600 Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB) 3 folds, <font color="red">SB raises to $12</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $39</font>, SB calls $27 Flop: ($78) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $60</font>, SB calls $60 Turn: ($198) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $138</font>, SB calls $138 River: ($474) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) SB checks |
#2
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Re: Party 600 - value bet ~river, tptk against big fishy
shove
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#3
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Re: Party 600 - value bet ~river, tptk against big fishy
Yes:
(1) You have the strongest ace, she could easily call with worse (2) Your line will look like a missed flush draw bluffing the river sometimes (3) She is unlikely to have a 5, and if if she did it is unlikely she would have called the turn with a single card straight draw on a 3flush board (4) With stronger made hands (trips, 2pair, low flush), she would have raised the flop or turn to protect her hand |
#4
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Re: Party 600 - value bet ~river, tptk against big fishy
[ QUOTE ]
shove [/ QUOTE ] |
#5
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Re: Party 600 - value bet ~river, tptk against big fishy
shove all day
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#6
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Re: Party 600 - value bet ~river, tptk against big fishy
[ QUOTE ]
Yes: (4) With stronger made hands (trips, 2pair, low flush), she would have raised the flop or turn to protect her hand [/ QUOTE ] Sounds good in theory, but her aggression is 0.6 (lol). I didn't mention she played her KK hand completely passive as an overpair as well. She could have any Ace all the way down IMO. I think the only part of her range that would pay off a value bet most of the time is A2 and A8+. I think she could have any number of made hands from trash 2-pair all the way to a flopped flush. On the other hand, my guts say value shove. |
#7
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Re: Party 600 - value bet ~river, tptk against big fishy
yeah i dont shove here, i bet like half pot max
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#8
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Re: Party 600 - value bet ~river, tptk against big fishy
I hate hand reading donks. Cause you can be so off.
but this is what I noticed. her pfr is 6%, this leads me to believe that when she raised and called a reraise, her A kicker would be pretty large, hence unlikely for a 2 pair. Hennnnce, u'r hand is prob good given it is the nut one pair hand. so Vbet for sure, I would bet as large as u think she's gonna call. basically my post is to alliviate u'r fears of being beat, and value towning u'r self. |
#9
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Re: Party 600 - value bet ~river, tptk against big fishy
i bet like half pot and hope villain call W QxQs
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#10
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Re: Party 600 - value bet ~river, tptk against big fishy
def valuebetting, but not a shove. 2/3 pot or so is good.
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