#21
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Re: 400NL: Over pair, ugly flop, semi-deep.
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] What are MPs stats? That will affect the villains range that he sees the flop with. [/ QUOTE ] 17/15 after about 50 hands. [/ QUOTE ] For what it's worth, I think that adds more weight towards JJ - but otherwise not too too important. I still haven't really said what I'd do. FWIW, I think the minraise represents a lot more strength than a shove and fold but I also like betting less on the flop. |
#22
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Re: 400NL: Over pair, ugly flop, semi-deep.
If villain's range is TT-77, I have ~34% equity.
If I shove and assume he's always calling, I need 31% equity. If I had bet 100 on the flop, I'd need ~35% equity. |
#23
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Re: 400NL: Over pair, ugly flop, semi-deep.
Shoving is overkill, I like a flop check.
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#24
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Re: 400NL: Over pair, ugly flop, semi-deep.
[ QUOTE ]
You're a glass-is-half-empty type of guy, huh? [/ QUOTE ] Heh, something like that. I've only ever seen tags call/call one type of hand pre here, and it ain't pretty for our equity. |
#25
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Re: 400NL: Over pair, ugly flop, semi-deep.
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] You're a glass-is-half-empty type of guy, huh? [/ QUOTE ] Heh, something like that. I've only ever seen tags call/call one type of hand pre here, and it ain't pretty for our equity. [/ QUOTE ] villain is 36/19/1.75. that vpip combined with AF = fishy |
#26
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Re: 400NL: Over pair, ugly flop, semi-deep.
In any case, I don't think it looks all that great for us. Shoving doesn't suck but you know what I'd do.
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#27
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Re: 400NL: Over pair, ugly flop, semi-deep.
Results: I shove, villain has KJhh and I win flip.
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