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  #1  
Old 11-28-2007, 02:44 AM
mojed mojed is offline
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Default Re: TT, fold right?

I think he often plays an overpair like this. AKdd and AQdd are also in his range, and the odd AK, AQ getting aggro at your donk bet.

So lets see, JJ+ is 24 hands against which we have ~9% equity, AKdd and AQdd (and TT) make up 3 hands where it's a flip, and even if he plays half his remaining AK/AQ this way its 15 hands against which we have 75% equity. I fold. I think, lets stove it:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 34.534% 33.20% 01.34% 23875142 960799.50 { TdTs }
Hand 1: 65.466% 64.13% 01.34% 46120027 960799.50 { TT+, AKs, AdQd, AKo }

Yeah it's just a fold (given dead money) and that's with a fairly liberal range of semibluffs with AK for villain.
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  #2  
Old 11-28-2007, 02:46 AM
orange orange is offline
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Default Re: TT, fold right?

check flop, sometimes call one street and c/f the turn. he's not doubling with many hands you beat but he will fire the flop with stuff like AK.
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  #3  
Old 11-28-2007, 02:47 AM
tweak tweak is offline
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Default Re: TT, fold right?

Without info on Villain I think you are dead right to fold. Keep an eye on him and see how he plays.
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