#1
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100nl: Three barrel bluff
Villain is a NIT. He is running at 11/6/2 over 350 hands.
I almost never over limp but i thought i'd mix it up a bit for once. My PF range is wide. PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (6 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) UTG ($230.65) MP ($101.70) CO ($86.50) Hero ($119.35) SB ($79.30) BB ($122.45) Preflop: Hero is Button with 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. UTG calls $1, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Hero calls $1, SB completes, BB checks. Flop: ($4) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $3</font>, UTG folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $11</font>, SB folds, BB calls $8. Turn: ($26) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $20</font>, BB calls $20. River: ($66) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $40</font> <font color="blue"> Ok, im pretty confident that villain has either 77-TT or a better missed draw, weighted more towards the missed draws because he is likely to fold PP's to the second barrel. I think he would fast-play his str8, sets/2pr hands. Im repping the Str8, sets, 2pr and missed draws. Thoughts? </font> |
#2
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Re: 100nl: Three barrel bluff
[ QUOTE ]
Thoughts? [/ QUOTE ] Most often fold preflop, sometimes raise. Call the flop, this guy doesn't bet the flop light multiway and you might get to take the pot down if a scarecard hits later. Check the river. You're beating busted draws. PPs fold the turn most often. Kxss will call you down anyways. Maaaybe you'll get Jxss to fold. |
#3
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Re: 100nl: Three barrel bluff
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Thoughts? [/ QUOTE ] Most often fold preflop, sometimes raise. Call the flop, this guy doesn't bet the flop light multiway and you might get to take the pot down if a scarecard hits later. Check the river. You're beating busted draws. PPs fold the turn most often. Kxss will call you down anyways. Maaaybe you'll get Jxss to fold. [/ QUOTE ] Oops. I didnt realise i had a pair. I guess trhat makes the bluff a bit [censored] considering a fairly large chunk of his range is missed draws IMO. In regards to Kxss, i can only see him getting to river with K4s edit: or KJs |
#4
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Re: 100nl: Three barrel bluff
you get less credit here because it's a limped pot.
this looks like a missed draw so hard precisely because of your pf action. also bet sizing on the river is bad, |
#5
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Re: 100nl: Three barrel bluff
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also bet sizing on the river is bad, [/ QUOTE ] What would you make it? |
#6
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Re: 100nl: Three barrel bluff
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] also bet sizing on the river is bad, [/ QUOTE ] What would you make it? [/ QUOTE ] 54 |
#7
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Re: 100nl: Three barrel bluff
I think this is an ok three barrel. You are pretty much representing the set/straight, and you'll probably get him to fold anything worse than KJ here.
BTW, what is his WTSD%? might help in determining if he will get away from a medium strenght hand here. |
#8
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Re: 100nl: Three barrel bluff
Considering nitty villain isn't gonna lead (and call the flop raise) at this pot w/o having something. Thus he's unlikely to fold turn. We have tonsa outs, why not peel on the turn and hope to hit?
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