#1
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Simple calculation
It's quite embarrassing that after so many hands of poker, I don't know how to do a simple equity calculation. Can you guys enlighten me?
Problem 1 Money already in pot: $1000 Villain's stack: $900 Hero's stack: $800 Villain's equity: 75% Hero's equity: 25% I make it hot on the flop and pushed. If Villain folds, I win $1000; ez moneys. If Villain calls, his hand has an equity of $600. My hand has an equity of $450. Total, I lose $150 every time Villain calls. So, the question is "what percentage of the time should Villain go away so I can break even?" I use the following formula. Please correct me if I'm wrong. Thanks. 0 = 1000x + (1-x)(-150) Problem 2: Money already in pot: $1000 Villain's stack: $1000 Hero's stack: $1250 Villain's equity: 75% Hero's equity: 25% Problem 3 Money already in pot: $1950 Villain's stack: $1000 Hero's stack: $1250 Villain's equity: 75% Hero's equity: 25% Once again, thanks! |
#2
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Re: Simple calculation
Well your formula is correct and your equities in the first problem are also correct. What's the question?
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#3
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Re: Simple calculation
[ QUOTE ]
Well your formula is correct and your equities in the first problem are also correct. What's the question? [/ QUOTE ] If the process I used to derive the equation to figure out X is correct. I have never done this and just want to make sure before I start adjusting my game [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img] |
#4
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Re: Simple calculation
The way I think about it is this:
Every time you push instead of checkfold (assume 0% fold equity here), you lose $150. Every time you push and make him fold, you win $1000. To make up for the $150 losses, you need to make him fold 150 / (150+1000) = 13ish% of the time. Intuitively this makes sense to me, and the math checks out too of course. Also not sure what the question is exactly so maybe this reply was useless. |
#5
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Re: Simple calculation
The question is "are the hands' equities correct?"
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#6
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Re: Simple calculation
Yes they are.
Say the amount in the pot is p, the amount required to push is a and your pot equity when called is e. Then your EV in case he calls you is EV_c = (p + 2*a) * e - a ...... = (p + a) * e - a * (1 - e) Now if your fold equity is f. The EV of pushing now is EV_push = f * p + (1 - f) * EV_c ........... = f * p + (1 - f) * ( (p +2*a) * e - a ) |
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