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#1
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Re: Dealing with a downswing...
It's a common theme that people don't like turning hands with showdown equity into bluffs on these boards... just let it be... [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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#2
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Re: Dealing with a downswing...
For me it's more that someone who bets JT isn't folding to a c/r and someone who is folding to a c/r would just check it back on the turn. The vast majority of the time.
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#3
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Re: Dealing with a downswing...
[ QUOTE ]
For me it's more that someone who bets JT isn't folding to a c/r and someone who is folding to a c/r would just check it back on the turn. The vast majority of the time. [/ QUOTE ] i mean maybe and i understand what ur saying but i think alot of times they are just betting the turn w/ these hand w/ the intention of taking a free SD on the river...in that case they aren't going to be calling the c/r. |
#4
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Re: Dealing with a downswing...
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] For me it's more that someone who bets JT isn't folding to a c/r and someone who is folding to a c/r would just check it back on the turn. The vast majority of the time. [/ QUOTE ] i mean maybe and i understand what ur saying but i think alot of times they are just betting the turn w/ these hand w/ the intention of taking a free SD on the river...in that case they aren't going to be calling the c/r. [/ QUOTE ] OK, there's some EV in the c/r. But compare it to a c/c line. C/c looks a lot better to me. If you had no showdown value whatsoever, maybe the bluff is +EV (I personally doubt it, but okay you could at least argue for it). But you have a decent pair with the best kicker. You have a lot of equity against your opponent's range. Why would you rely on your bluff equity (which, again, I doubt is very high) instead of your considerable showdown value? |
#5
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Re: Dealing with a downswing...
I think on that board, he has 8x, Jx, 99, TT a lot (and 55 occasionbally and 67/9T also)
Against 8x, Jx, 99, TT we are behind a bunch of hands because we have one of the 8's so there is more Jx hands than 8x hands. When we throw in 99/TT we are behind a lot more than we are ahead of. Also, I think a lot of people will bet with a big range of the hands we beat after we check the turn including a most Jx hands as well as 99/TT - all wanting to not give your perceived AK a free card. That is why I think a c/r is good here - because we are actually folding out a lot of hands that we do beat. Obv against someone who never folds, this sux, but I think OP said he was a thinking player. |
#6
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Re: Dealing with a downswing...
lol with this new attitude of yours, ull prolly be owning me at 25 50 once again very soon
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#7
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Re: Dealing with a downswing...
[ QUOTE ]
It's a common theme that people don't like turning hands with showdown equity into bluffs on these boards... just let it be... [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] I would say that might be so for most of the monkeys on 2+2, but I would not call ShipShip or TWP monkeys. [ QUOTE ] For me it's more that someone who bets JT isn't folding to a c/r and someone who is folding to a c/r would just check it back on the turn. The vast majority of the time. [/ QUOTE ] You think that even a thinking player on this type of board and this deep wouldn't be folding to a c/r here with a J? And even if they will often check it back if we check, we miss an opportunity to push them off a better hand. Or is it that you think they have a lower 8X hand here a lot? |
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