flush draw v. piejay 25/50 HU

[Stinger88]

I just played him and he limped a ton of buttons and even open folded a couple. As for the hand this is really ugly, I guess I'd fold but I think the turn bet is really standard against most players b/c ur rarely getting checkraised. Maybe he's different tho, not much experience v him

[kafkaFan1]

i've played him a ton. he peels the flop very light so i think this turn bet is mandatory, as stinger says this c/r is rare. he isn't a folder so i can't see the all in being good without a specific read during the hand. i think to call or fold is just a math questino and the answer is pretty close for a call.

[Taylor Caby]

pretty sure i reluctantly fold. i woudl call sometimes though, and it's kinda hard to explain but it depends on the flow of the match, particularly if he is a little tilty, and considering the fact that piejay doesn't usually follow through on the river if he misses a draw in this spot. also, fwiw, there are ties i do call a little more lightly in situations like this against piejay because if you ever make a big hand vs him on some mediocreish suckout, he tilts like a maniac and it's worth giving up a little EV to get him off his game.

he's got a set, J9, or TQdd, TKdd, Jxss, or some 9Xdd, all with relatively equal frequency, imo. I don't really think he's folding any of his hands except for the occasional pure bluff, but that's like 5-10% of his range tops.

tc