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#1
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Villain is 26/19/2.5 over 250 hands.
My reasoning for calling down; he has bet every flop until now when he has something, mostly for hand protection and to build a pot. however he comes alive on the turn when its checked to him. So i put him on overs, although I realize his range is wider. Is this fine? Plan was to call blank river, and fold to J-A river. BB: $41.69 UTG: $97.50 MP: $131.12 CO: $229.37 BTN: $98.50 Hero (SB): $121.95 Pre-Flop: 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB) 2 folds, <font color="red">CO raises to $4</font>, BTN calls $4, Hero calls $3.50, BB folds Flop: ($13) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players) Hero checks, CO checks, BTN checks Turn: ($13) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players) Hero checks, <font color="red">CO bets $9</font>, BTN folds, Hero calls $9 River: ($31) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero checks, <font color="red">CO bets $25</font>, Hero calls $25 |
#2
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Besides QJ & maybe KJ, I can't see many overs in his range that missed.
Way more likely to be 55-88,A9,AT,JT,QT. A 26/19 would probably bet most FDs on the flop. This is not a profitable call imo without some serious reads. *Misread the PFR's position...there are more missed over combinations than I thought. I still don't like this call though. |
#3
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what hand does a 26/17/2.5 check the flop with, when he has initiative? And why isnt AK-AJ in his range? And all overcards missed + all draws missed
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#4
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I'd have folded the river.
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#5
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i dont think u are good enough often enough on the river to make it profitable, mid PPs are in his range and they are still ahead of you.
yes i agree villains line is fishy given check on flop, but i still think 44 is too thin a call. |
#6
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i think i 3bet pre 75% of the time here atleast then you have got abit more intiative to go with you weak pair.
as played fold river. I dont think he is bluffing the river it smells like a weak 9 played pretty bad |
#7
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You're right...the CO's range is really wide so he is going to have lots of marginal holdings on the flop...however, this range still beats you by the river. A guy like this is going to have mix up his cbets occasionally. I think AK/AQ probably bets out on the flop and most FDs lead out as well...so lots of the range you beat is gone.
You didn't give us a read on the button, is he really aggressive or is he a huge call station? I just don't think this is profitable long run but whatever...I'm guessing you put him on AK/AQ/QJ and this is just a thinly veiled brag thread. |
#8
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Actually, I think this is fine with the right read.
Flop is very tasty so he'd be silly not to bet a strong hand, and also reluctant to cbet air into two Villains. Then the turn is a brick, and the river changes nothing except it's kind of a scare card, so those are good spots for Villain to fire. Or he could be trapping us, in which case gg him, but really I don't mind this line at all. Turn and river stats would help if you have any kind of sample size. |
#9
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I think this is fine. This looks like a bluff a lot and I'm not sure that many villans value bet 88 or 77 on the river, and surely he leads with an overpair on the flop?
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#10
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[ QUOTE ]
You're right...the CO's range is really wide so he is going to have lots of marginal holdings on the flop...however, this range still beats you by the river. A guy like this is going to have mix up his cbets occasionally. I think AK/AQ probably bets out on the flop and most FDs lead out as well...so lots of the range you beat is gone. You didn't give us a read on the button, is he really aggressive or is he a huge call station? I just don't think this is profitable long run but whatever...I'm guessing you put him on AK/AQ/QJ and this is just a thinly veiled brag thread. [/ QUOTE ] button folded the turn so he isnt really a big part of the hand. Had to check the PT, and it was his first orbit at the table. So no tells/stat on him. I think your answer is good, but I dislike the last sentence, cause it was not meant to be brag, I wanted honest opinions on my play. Villains aggression on flop/turn/riv is 4/2/1.80 over 250 hands. |
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