*** OFFICIAL 11/19/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (TEN @ DEN)***

[TooTallT]

Then teasing is the right play

[kyro]

OK, I'm dumb. This is where sportsbetting will be a challenge for me. I think I can spot edges in lines based on the actual teams, but I'm not sure how well I'll do with the actual math even though I consider myself a math nerd.

My book is offering Ten -2 (-110), and Ten PK (+110).

I'm pretty sure Ten PK (+110) is the far better line, correct?

[Jazzy3113]

The way you have written the odds means that

Tenn -2 is you bet 110 to win 100.
Tenn ML is you bet 100 to win 110.

Does that sound right to you?

[kyro]

tenn +2 ldo

[kyro]

If I think Tenn wins 50% of the time, then I need Denver to win by 1 or 2 (I'm assuming the odds of winning by 1 are similar enough to winning by 2 for this), 3.28% of the time each for it to be breakeven. Anymore, and Ten +2 is a better line.

[Nonfiction]

wong it ldo

[kyro]

[ QUOTE ]
wong it ldo

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, I really want to with Baltimore +2.5, but I'm not sure this site offers teasers, or if it does, I'm too stupid to figure it out.

And yes, I am dumb for betting on only one site. I never had "that thing that shall not be named" playing poker either.

[LogistX]

[ QUOTE ]
If I think Tenn wins 50% of the time, then I need Denver to win by 1 or 2 (I'm assuming the odds of winning by 1 are similar enough to winning by 2 for this), 3.28% of the time each for it to be breakeven. Anymore, and Ten +2 is a better line.

[/ QUOTE ]
This math is done in Sharp Sports Betting. Take a look at the section "NFL Money Line vs. Spread". +2 (-110) equates to a moneyline between +113 and +117. So you are right. +2 (-110) is the better line.

[kyro]

Stupidly put down a unit on Tenn +2.

I'm working on getting money to another book so I don't make stupid bets like this. I'm pretty sure this book doesn't offer teasers, otherwise I'd wong it. *sigh*