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Old 11-12-2007, 05:48 AM
Veil Veil is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 43
Default Re: Poker After Dark thread (week of 11/5 - Of Mouth and Men)

JD, how about offer a legitimate counter? Like this:

1) Well, that's obvious.

2) Of course it is, relatively. But it's also relatively very strong in the situation, giving stacks/blinds. Against random holdings, its strength is 88% equity - I'd say that's very strong in any circumstance.

3) Now this is the major flaw in your logic. You're not aware of how light Sexton would actually call off his chips, especially against Gold. Also, to assume that Sexton has to CR or bet out with top pair is absurd. Gold's all-in is only 4x the pot sized bet from Sexton. And although Sexton would be stacking off here, I believe there's a very good chance he's calling with: J/8, J/9, J/10, Q/J, K/J, A/J, and of course with 5/2, 5/3, 5/4, 6/5, 9/5. Now of course he's calling with many hands that are ahead, but combining all the likelihoods, added with how important it is to value raise - this looks like a very good spot to get it in, especially in this format and with those blinds.

4) No, calling and leaving yourself with that stack with those blinds is not enough to work with, especially considering your opponent would then have a more than 3-to-1 chip lead on you. You will now be relying 100% on luck to get back in it, which is never what any poker player wants to do.
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