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#11
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im cf this hand on every street unless i hit the nuts
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#12
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Someone double check the math for me.
Villain folds:+358 Assuming you have 2 outs to win once he calls 1-[(47-2)/47 x (46-2)/46]=8.4% to win if he calls Villain calls:EV=[(8.4%)x(814)]+[(91.6%)x(-814)] EV= 68.37+ -745.62 EV= -677.25 Fold equity to make it neutral EV where fold equity =x 0=x(358)+(-677.25)(1-x) 0=358x-677.25+677.25x 0=1035x-677.25 677.25=1035x x=65% |
#13
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[ QUOTE ]
Someone double check the math for me. Villain folds:+358 Assuming you have 2 outs to win once he calls 1-[(47-2)/47 x (46-2)/46]=8.4% to win if he calls Villain calls:EV=[(8.4%)x(814)]+[(91.6%)x(-814)] EV= 68.37+ -745.62 EV= -677.25 Fold equity to make it neutral EV where fold equity =x 0=x(358)+(-677.25)(1-x) 0=358x-677.25+677.25x 0=1035x-677.25 677.25=1035x x=65% [/ QUOTE ] looks good conceptually and i assume you can work a calculator... |
#14
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i agree its reallll fishy to just call pre. maybe he's floating the 4bet to bet the turn if the flop checks through...i've done that once and seen it from a couple other tag/lag villain's, though it's def FPS.
anyway, i doubt he even folds JJ to a push here. so I either c/f all the way, or maybe check flop and call on a turn card under T. |
#15
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[ QUOTE ] fwiw i have this guy a lot nittier than 24/19, over 2k hands [/ QUOTE ] what have you got him at? [/ QUOTE ] 18/14 |
#16
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check flop check turn shove river
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#17
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Hes not folding. [/ QUOTE ] seriously he's definitely not folding. just check and check again on the turn. if he shoves, obv fold. fwiw i don't really like the 4bet but it's okay once in a while... obviously much better i think if you know he'll never do something like flat and leave us in a spot like this |
#18
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shove pre, as played check behind and hope to spike a 9.
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#19
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[ QUOTE ]
shove pre, as played check behind and hope to spike a 9. [/ QUOTE ] shove pre depends on your overall strategy and I don't play an all-in 4bet strat. anyways results were I shoved and didn't really like it. I got a fold but in retrospect I think just try to check this down and hit a 2 outer |
#20
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TILT and I've been playing real bad this week. My hand is embarassing. genneo, your hand was good.
Fionn, you're stats are old. You constantly berating me and calling me a nit, inspired me to improve. |
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