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#2
11-08-2007, 02:33 AM
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Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
[ QUOTE ]
I currently have LT sitting on my fantasy bench because i have Addai and AP starting, jealous much?! [/ QUOTE ] Are you in a 4 person league or something? How could anyone let Addai fall all the way back to you at the end of round 2? Also, I like No on the overall record due to AP wearing down in his first long year as a pro as was mentioned earlier. Also leaning towards No on the rookie record as well, but I'd have to do some more analysis before betting it. 
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#3
11-08-2007, 03:05 AM
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Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
[ QUOTE ]
I currently have LT sitting on my fantasy bench because i have Addai and AP starting, jealous much?! [/ QUOTE ] are you sure your goal is to find +EV sports bets?
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#5
11-08-2007, 11:42 AM
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Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
[ QUOTE ]
I currently have LT sitting on my fantasy bench because i have Addai and AP starting, jealous much?! [/ QUOTE ] Not really because you're clearly not maximizing your +EV by trading one of them for a better player at another position
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#7
11-08-2007, 12:38 PM
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Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
I would also be very suprised if he can make it throuhg a 16 game nfl season without getting dinged up. the vikings will have nothing to play for at the end of the season and if he has any sort of injury sprained ankle or anything the vikings will not risk the future of there franchise on a meaningless game in december
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#8
11-08-2007, 12:44 PM
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Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
[ QUOTE ]
Bet is back up, just in case anyone missed out last night. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah but its a little less tempting right now. Will Adrian Peterson (MIN) break the single season record for yards by any running back (2105 yards Eric Dickerson)? Must play in week 10 for action. Regular season only. No parlays. Max $100 Yes +200 No -300
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#9
11-08-2007, 03:43 PM
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Re: Adrian Peterson Bodog props
They added one for Peterson breaking Dickerson's TD record (18) and an over/under 15.5 for his total rushing TDs.
I maxed the No on > 18 TDs at -200. He has 8 rushing TDs currently, so if the 15.5 is accurate, there is an average of 7.5 more TDs he will score this year. He needs to score 11 more TDs to break the record. Using Poisson this gives a 13.78% chance, so the No is substantially +EV. I personally think that 15.5 is a little high, which would make the edge here even larger. The juice for the over/under agrees - the over 15.5 is currently -105 and the under is -135.
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