College Wongs

TooTallT · #1 10-20-2007, 01:25 PM

Doesn't this imply that dogs are profitable in 3-teamers at +180? I'm ignoring the road dog advantage for the moment as insignificant. Low margins vs BE (70.9%), so I'm not sure if the sample size is adequate to make a decision.

J

MyTurn2Raise · #2 10-20-2007, 01:41 PM

it's more a reflection of road dogs of 1.5 to 2.5 going well above 50% ATS over the time period---if you ask me, that's where the betting should be at and I should've included that in the second post

TooTallT · #3 10-20-2007, 01:49 PM

Got it (in hindsight of course) betting those road dogs would've been more profitable than teasing them.

I think this raises an important point, that the key numbers to use when evaluating teasers is not the percentage of times the teaser covers, but the percentage the number lands in the "sweet spot." Otherwise you get bias if the unteased number covers ATS more than it should.

J

knicknut · #4 10-23-2007, 08:01 AM

Nice work.

mogwai316 · #5 10-23-2007, 08:20 AM

Doh, somehow I missed this thread. Would've saved me some time.

kevkev60614 · #6 10-24-2007, 01:02 PM

This should somehow be added to MT2R's post in the sticky.

Jazzy3113 · #7 10-24-2007, 01:27 PM

my turn i like messing with excel and data, you could break it up and send me a small segment to sort out the pertinent data