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Old 10-18-2007, 11:07 AM
wotttttttttt wotttttttttt is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 47
Default Re: 25nl 2Pair v. shortstck on crap board

No offense, but the fact that most responses consist of debates of whether to fold preflop, bet/call or check call river gives me hope to the future profitability of online poker.

Against a LOOSE PASSIVE player, you want to exploit passivity by seeing more flops cheaply with hands that can hit big, valuebet wide ranges but fold to aggression. If he raises I'm ahead like never, if I'm going to bet and call a shove then I should just shove to begin with because he's muchmuchmuchmuchmuch more likely to call a shove with a naked ten than he is to shove a naked ten over my river third barrel. As in, he won't shove it. I am ~0% equity against his shoving raise on river.

The only profitable ways to play this river are to bet/fold and to open shove.

And to the people saying not to bet this flop: I'm ahead of their calling range on flop since they show up with baby FDs and underpairs often in pots like these. Plus I play like 35/28/4 so I have an image to maintain

Board: Th 7h 3c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 46.858% 45.57% 01.29% 125405 3556.50 { 8s7s }
Hand 1: 53.142% 51.85% 01.29% 142702 3556.50 { 22+, ATs+, Ah9h, Ah8h, Ah7h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ah2h, KhQh, KhJh, KTs, Kh9h, Kh8h, QhJh, QTs, Qh9h, Qh8h, JTs, Jh9h, Jh8h, Jh7h, Jh6h, T6s+, 98s, 9h7h, 9h6h, 8h6h, 8h5h, 7h6h, 7h5h, 7h4h, 6h5h, 6h4h, 6h3h, 5h4h, 5h3h, 5h2h, 4h3h, 4h2h, 32s, ATo+, A3o, KTo, QTo, JTo, T7o+, 97o+, 75o+, 43o, 32o }

And I can play perfectly when any flushcard but the 8 comes because passive players turn their hands face up when they are strong.
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