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  #1  
Old 10-17-2007, 11:29 AM
beta1607 beta1607 is offline
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Default Re: 50% returns on small amounts?

If you could easily sustain 50% rates on small accounts you could grow $50,000 to $1million in just about 7 1/4 years and grow it $10,000,000 in about 13 years.

If you could do this why wouldnt you simply grow you're account to 1-2 million and then just live like a rockstar off the $500,000 -$1,000,000 youre bringing in every year?
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  #2  
Old 10-17-2007, 01:37 PM
DesertCat DesertCat is offline
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Default Re: 50% returns on small amounts?

[ QUOTE ]
If you could easily sustain 50% rates on small accounts you could grow $50,000 to $1million in just about 7 1/4 years and grow it $10,000,000 in about 13 years.

If you could do this why wouldnt you simply grow you're account to 1-2 million and then just live like a rockstar off the $500,000 -$1,000,000 youre bringing in every year?

[/ QUOTE ]

Remember to deduct overhead and living expenses from your annual returns. You might start part time but pretty quickly you'll want to do it full time. This slows your portfolio growth.

And I have no answer to the second question. As my portfolio grew my returns diminished a bit, so while I live very well and enjoy not having a job Im no rockstar. If i worked harder and was more of a miser Id probably get to rockstar income levels but I enjoy playing poker every day and spending time with my family. I often wonder if I'd benefit from counseling cause I always feel like I could accomplish so much more with any serious level of dedication. I blame my wife really, she's far too satisfied with what I have accomplished, given she moved in with me when I was an $4 per hour bus boy.
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  #3  
Old 10-18-2007, 12:03 AM
pig4bill pig4bill is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 2,658
Default Re: 50% returns on small amounts?

[ QUOTE ]
If you could easily sustain 50% rates on small accounts you could grow $50,000 to $1million in just about 7 1/4 years and grow it $10,000,000 in about 13 years.

If you could do this why wouldnt you simply grow you're account to 1-2 million and then just live like a rockstar off the $500,000 -$1,000,000 youre bringing in every year?

[/ QUOTE ]

Why not, indeed? Some of my trading buddies do.
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  #4  
Old 10-18-2007, 07:34 PM
Mark1808 Mark1808 is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 590
Default Re: 50% returns on small amounts?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
If you could easily sustain 50% rates on small accounts you could grow $50,000 to $1million in just about 7 1/4 years and grow it $10,000,000 in about 13 years.

If you could do this why wouldnt you simply grow you're account to 1-2 million and then just live like a rockstar off the $500,000 -$1,000,000 youre bringing in every year?

[/ QUOTE ]

Why not, indeed? Some of my trading buddies do.

[/ QUOTE ]

Good article in the WSJ today about guys going busto on real estate. Guy in Vegas had 14 homes and was living like a balla, he's now busto filing for bankruptcy. At the top 2 years ago how smart do you think this guy thought he was? Guys making big money trading stocks typically trade for huge investment banks and pretty much make markets scalping the differance between bid and ask when possible. Their advantage comes from the capital base of their company and order flow from established clients.

I don't mean to be a hater but we live in a very competitive society with lots and lots of smart people. There is a regression to the mean over time and 50% is no reasonable long term expected return for investors. In the short run anything is possible.

Reading all this makes me want to short this market soooooooooooooooooooooooooo BAD!
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  #5  
Old 10-19-2007, 12:17 AM
pig4bill pig4bill is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 2,658
Default Re: 50% returns on small amounts?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
If you could easily sustain 50% rates on small accounts you could grow $50,000 to $1million in just about 7 1/4 years and grow it $10,000,000 in about 13 years.

If you could do this why wouldnt you simply grow you're account to 1-2 million and then just live like a rockstar off the $500,000 -$1,000,000 youre bringing in every year?

[/ QUOTE ]

Why not, indeed? Some of my trading buddies do.

[/ QUOTE ]

Good article in the WSJ today about guys going busto on real estate. Guy in Vegas had 14 homes and was living like a balla, he's now busto filing for bankruptcy. At the top 2 years ago how smart do you think this guy thought he was? Guys making big money trading stocks typically trade for huge investment banks and pretty much make markets scalping the differance between bid and ask when possible. Their advantage comes from the capital base of their company and order flow from established clients.

[/ QUOTE ]

None of my trading buddies trade like that, not even the market maker.

[ QUOTE ]
I don't mean to be a hater but we live in a very competitive society with lots and lots of smart people. There is a regression to the mean over time and 50% is no reasonable long term expected return for investors. In the short run anything is possible.

[/ QUOTE ]

Regression to the mean of what? To the mean of their trading results? You make no sense.

[ QUOTE ]
Reading all this makes me want to short this market soooooooooooooooooooooooooo BAD!

[/ QUOTE ]

So grow some balls and do it.
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  #6  
Old 10-19-2007, 01:17 AM
Mark1808 Mark1808 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 590
Default Re: 50% returns on small amounts?

[ QUOTE ]
I don't mean to be a hater but we live in a very competitive society with lots and lots of smart people. There is a regression to the mean over time and 50% is no reasonable long term expected return for investors. In the short run anything is possible.

[/ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
Regression to the mean of what? To the mean of their trading results? You make no sense.

[/ QUOTE ]

Lets say stocks have averaged 10% a year for 80 years on a risk adjusted basis you really can't expect to do 5 times that over time. If those types of opportunities to make 50% are available competition for investment returns will quickly price out the anomoly. Edward Thorpe in the 60's identified a profitable way to sell over priced warrants. Investors took notice and warrants became more fairly valued eliminating a profitable opportunity.

[ QUOTE ]
Reading all this makes me want to short this market soooooooooooooooooooooooooo BAD!

[/ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
So grow some balls and do it.

[/ QUOTE ]

My problem is short term gains are taxed quite heavily. Short term losses are limited to a $3,000 a year write off. I'm kinda laying almost 2 - 1 odds tax wise if I attempt a short term trade. Besides that I already have enough for my meager life style.
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