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  #1  
Old 10-12-2007, 12:13 PM
TomG TomG is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
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Default Re: Huge Value On THE TRIBE

See the problem with betting full Kelly is its volatility. Well, ladies and gentleman, I have the solution to that. Let me introduce the "Kelly Martingale." The martingale controls variance while the Kelly maximizes growth. For example, start by betting 1/8 Kelly. If win, continue to bet 1/8 Kelly. If you lose, place your next wager at 1/4 Kelly. If win, back to 1/8 Kelly. If you lose again, bet 1/2 Kelly. etc, etc. Robusto!
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  #2  
Old 10-12-2007, 12:54 PM
MCS MCS is offline
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Location: Brooklyn! What!
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Default Re: Huge Value On THE TRIBE

[ QUOTE ]
"Kelly Martingale."

[/ QUOTE ]

Your system, brilliant in my opinion.
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  #3  
Old 10-12-2007, 01:03 PM
MicroBob MicroBob is offline
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Location: The cat is back by popular demand.
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Default Re: Huge Value On THE TRIBE

crap. I've lost my last 3 bets and according to Kelly-Martingale I think I have to bet 85% of my bankroll on tonight's game.

Go San Jose St!!!
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  #4  
Old 10-12-2007, 01:58 PM
Thremp Thremp is offline
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Default Re: Huge Value On THE TRIBE

I love it. Line limits are typically more of worry with limited outs than over shooting your Kelly criterion for a good number of people.
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