#1
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Ever not beat here?
This is a live game, so no easy hand history:
Me on Button: $500 BB: $600 Game is a California special: 2-3-5 Spread Limit, $10 to see the flop. That's $2 on button, $3 on sb, $5 on BB, a limp is $10. $200 max bet or raise. Two limpers before me, I have AKo, raise to $40, sb mucks, BB raises $60 to $100 total. Both limpers muck. I call planning to muck if no A or K, not intending to bluff. Opponent is reasonable player who certainly can bluff. Flop comes AT3 rainbow. I check, BB bets $100, I raise $200. Opponent pushes me all in. Am I ever ahead here? Do I call anyways because there's $900 in the pot? I'm 15% against AT or 3% against TT/33. |
#2
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Re: Ever not beat here?
call call call
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#3
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Re: Ever not beat here?
There's no room for play when you're playing with 50BB effective. 20% went in preflop, you flop TPTK so now the other 80% goes in.
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#4
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Re: Ever not beat here?
open fold... he has u beat!
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#5
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Re: Ever not beat here?
[ QUOTE ]
call call call [/ QUOTE ] |
#6
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Re: Ever not beat here?
i would say that AT and 333 are 2 of his least likely holdings given preflop. dont fold.
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#7
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Re: Ever not beat here?
lets think for a secend. he rr pre flop plz rule out A10 and 333.
call call call 2p2 has gone to [censored] |
#8
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Re: Ever not beat here?
He has one way to have a set of Aces, three ways to have a set of tens, and six ways to have a top two.
He also has six ways to have AK. If you can't put him on any other hands, that's ten ways you're beat and six where you're split. 6/16 * 0.5 (split) * 1100 (after call) = ev of 206.25, or 6.25 over the cost of the call. If you can put him on anything else (other than A3 or a set of 3's) that's just gravey. Call. |
#9
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Re: Ever not beat here?
Jesus
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#10
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Re: Ever not beat here?
Oh, and this ignores the chance that you'll suck out if he has AT
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