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Old 09-17-2007, 11:03 PM
Smilin' Smilin' is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 304
Default Re: 25 NL - Am I being way too nitty here

[ QUOTE ]
We are even money (51:49 dog) against a range that includes another 6 (62o+, 62s+) if we add in a horribly played QQ we drop down to 53:47 dog.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think all of these 6's are equally likely given preflop. A6 is most likely, and I'd add K6, 76, 65 as other (somewhat less likely) parts of his range. Plus some suited one- or two-gappers, maybe Q6s. Upshot: I think you're a somewhat worse dog than you are against a (62o+, 62s+) range.

The problem I see with "call and reevaluate" is that SB could continue pushing with a worse 6 on the turn. Ditto for a flush draw (I don't think a Q is so likely). IMO, it's commit on the flop or fold.
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