#3
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Re: Five card draw card removal effects (LONG reply)
Interesting concept you are analyzing there, havn't had the time to read it properly yet. What stuck out was this, though:
"since holding one pair slightly decreases your opponents' chance of having two pair, trips, and full house relative to if you held no pair (I think)" Actually, I somehow think it's the other way around. If you hold a pair, there are 3 ranks he's less likely to have a pair and one where he is very unlikely to have a pair, where as holding 5 unpaired cards gives 5 ranks that are unlikely to pair up for an opponent. This is just an instinctive feeling, I havn't done the math to back this up, so I could very well be wrong. In any case, I think the difference is pretty minor. Some of this math could very well help me play QQ and JJ better than I currently do, I still feel very unsure when playing these hands. I will take a closer look at this later. |
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