AA against very weak opponent. 50NL.

[Biggy]

It's a weird spot, I'd think about 3 betting his flop minraise. I don't think a weak player like that calls on a draw if you 3bet the flop.

[wslee00]

i'd call turn and c/c up to 1/2 pot river bet

[TheDoubleA]

Do you think he could do this with 1010 +? After seeing that he could have won some more money with the KK hand, maybe he felt the need to push these types of hands harder. I really doubt that he is playing a draw this way at all, and 53 or 58 for a straight is just not reasonable based on his previous stats and play. If you dont think his play changed much, they I would probably put him on a set here.

To raise a draw and then dumb down your turn bet after being checked to in order to get a call doesnt seem like it is in his style. If he was willing to c/c down overpairs, I just cant see him raising and playing this aggressive with a draw.

I will go with 65% that he has a set and 35% that he has an overpair.

As played though I would have folded and continued to c-bet the [censored] out of him, because it seems like a very easy player to play against.

[fxwz]

Thanks for the answers. I guess it's three lines you could choose, 3-bet flop, c/c or fold. I'm having a hard time figuring out wich one is the best though.
3-bet flop: why would this kind of player suddently play his draw aggro? I've seen him see a flop with 95s from the BB(just cheking pf), check all the way, hit a straight and CHECK the river. No bets, no call, no nothing.

Calling turn and calling 1/2 pot bet on river:
In my mind there's no way he would bet the river without a hand, and with a weak holding he propably would've checked or if he felt really frisky, made a light bet(although I doubt it). So this could propably work.
BUT is it realistic to think he's holding anything worse than a set or two pair? At worst? I mean, i've only seen this guy bet one hand before out of almost 200 and that hand he was holding kings on a board with low cards, and no draws.

Go figure...

edit: thanks for the input TheDoubleA.
I pretty much agree with you. I guess he could of had TT+, that would make sense as well as set/two pair.
I ended up folding, but I sure wasn't happy at all about how the hand went down..

Gotta love ongame though, players like this all the time [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[TheDoubleA]

[ QUOTE ]
edit: thanks for the input TheDoubleA.
I pretty much agree with you. I guess he could of had TT+, that would make sense as well as set/two pair.
I ended up folding, but I sure wasn't happy at all about how the hand went down..

[/ QUOTE ]
Your welcome.
[ QUOTE ]
Villain is unbelieaveably weak, roughly 16/3/1.8 over 170 hands.

[/ QUOTE ]
I dont think there is anyway he has 2 pair here.

...and dont worry about the fold. You will make that back c-betting the [censored] out of him over the next hour. Players with stats like this make one mistake and it is a killer for him, as he does not play a style that lets him get into huge pots. Look at this one, if he had been loose, you might have pushed the flop and he smokes with with a set of 7s. But because he is a SUPER nit, it becomes a semi-easy fold. God I love poker.

[stevematador]

No way he is raising his draw on the flop, not from description you gave of him. I would surely put him on pocket 77's, if he called the flop bet and fired on turn I would put him on AdKd, but because of the flop raise I say trips all the way. GL

[eurythmech]

You really really need to threebet flop.
It's not like you have any idea of how this player is post flop after 170 hands. You have probably seen him being in a spot such as this flop...what, 10 times tops, during this session.