|
|
|
|
#2
08-08-2007, 02:08 AM
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Earn 6% in the next 5 months (merger arbitrage)
Seriously, Shoe has deserved a custom title by now. Something like BFI Court Jester would be perfect. This dude is like the reincarnation of Warren Buffett or something.
-Brendan 
|
|
#3
08-08-2007, 10:19 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Earn 6% in the next 5 months (merger arbitrage)
[ QUOTE ]
Seriously, Shoe has deserved a custom title by now. Something like BFI Court Jester would be perfect. This dude is like Warren Buffett's retarded brother or something. -Brendan [/ QUOTE ]
|
|
#4
08-08-2007, 10:36 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Earn 6% in the next 5 months (merger arbitrage)
I just love how Shoe is giving this recommendation but passing on it b/c he is sure he can do better than 6% in 5 months. How he still is convinced that with no prior investing experience he can beat the market without luck is amazing to me. I have overall beaten the market over a 4 year period, but over that time, half of my money was in index funds and the many losses I had in individual investments were outweighed by a few good (probably just lucky) picks. When you put 10% of your portfolio in AAPL at $36, it helps a ton.
I believe Shoe will never beat the market over an extended period unless Nintendo or some other stock that he heavily invests in goes on a multiyear run. So if he ran a "mutual fund" with a couple of 100 stocks instead of 25% in Nintendo or something he would never be able to.
|
|
#8
08-08-2007, 02:09 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Earn 6% in the next 5 months (merger arbitrage)
[ QUOTE ]
Owning 100 stocks is not necasarily a good thing. If I ran a mutual fund I wouldn't add more stocks just to have more. [/ QUOTE ] Very true, any good mutual fund knows to put 50% in NTDOY and 50% in SIX. Shoe, I apologize for flaming you a little bit, but I just wish you would wake up to reality before you not only cost yourself, but possible others. I would be willing to wager any sum of money that you can not beat the market for 10 years straight and that you can't earn 20%-30% for more than 2 years straight.
|
|
#9
08-08-2007, 07:55 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Earn 6% in the next 5 months (merger arbitrage)
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Owning 100 stocks is not necasarily a good thing. If I ran a mutual fund I wouldn't add more stocks just to have more. [/ QUOTE ] Very true, any good mutual fund knows to put 50% in NTDOY and 50% in SIX. Shoe, I apologize for flaming you a little bit, but I just wish you would wake up to reality before you not only cost yourself, but possible others. I would be willing to wager any sum of money that you can not beat the market for 10 years straight and that you can't earn 20%-30% for more than 2 years straight. [/ QUOTE ] I could bet you, but it would be -EV for me (whether i won or lost). If i can't beat the market, i lose to you in addition to what I already lost in the market. If I win the bet, my money would have been better off in the market because it would have more than doubled in the mean time, so although I won the bet, I'd be losing out on opportunity cost. So unless you are willing to give me some pretty good odds I will not be taking any bets.
|
|
#10
08-08-2007, 04:56 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Earn 6% in the next 5 months (merger arbitrage)
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Not too bad for so little risk. [/ QUOTE ] lol [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, isn't capitalization on arbs usually only facilitated through investing huge amounts of money? (To maximize-leverage such a short-term gain)
|
 |
|
|
Hybrid Mode
