#1
|
|||
|
|||
calling raises with small pocket pairs
alright I know it is +ev to call with a small pocket pair to try to flop a set because if villian has AA/KK he might lose his whole stack.
My question is how big of a raise should you be willing to call? I know u hit a set 1 out of 8 times, but that doesn't mean u should call raises that are 8xbb (assuming 100bb stacks). I have been following a 10x rule instead but I am starting to think maybe that is still not good because u will not win villian's stack often enough for it to be profitable. I am thinking of following a 15x or 20x rule instead. Anything wrong with this? P.S. I play NL100 so the players are decent. |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: calling raises with small pocket pairs
Expectation is determined by how likely the villain is to stack off with his overpair.
If he's both a good player and deep stacked, then you're likely to only get half his stack. Assuming equivalent stacks, calling a raise pre-flop stops being cost effective when the raise is more than 5% of effective stack size. On the other hand, if the raiser is a chump then you can call raises of up to 10% effective stack size, confident that, if you hit your set, you will be playing for stacks. Then set over set comes into play and takes a huge bite out of your win rate. IIRC, Ed and the boys said this was covered in detail in the forthcoming PNL. |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: calling raises with small pocket pairs
5/10 rule. If Villain has you covered, always call up to 5% of your stack, never call more than 10%, 5%-10% is player dependent as phydaux explained.
|
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: calling raises with small pocket pairs
If x = the amount of the raise
If y = opponent stack size and z = probability opponent will stack off if you hit Then if y*z > 8*x, you call. note: depending on the size of your pair and how weak your opponent plays postflop, you may make money when you don't flop a set. But that's harder to estimate, too. The hard part is accurately estimating z. |
|
|