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Hi guys,
It seems that in discussions of poker winrate calculations, it's usually taken for granted that the normal distribution applies. As a typical example, here is an article from this month's 2+2 magazine on SNG ROI calculations: http://www.twoplustwo.com/magazine/c.../Vork0607.html Keeping the discussion a bit more qualitative, I don't think this arrows around a bullseye approach works well for poker. As time goes on, your abilities change, as do your opposition, available rake deals, etc. E.g., when I play SNGs, I like to think I'm getting better with time. In that case, basing winrates on a mean parameter would clearly give misleading results. Same with BB/100, other games ... has anyone seen an approach to winrates that relies on other parameters / appeals to other distributions? Any ideas greatly appreciated. Best Regards, Collin |
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