I'm always in these spots.... shortie & tiltie

[Matt Ruff]

[ QUOTE ]
By calling, I expected to call any flop bet unless the flop was AKQ...

[/ QUOTE ]

But in this case, if the flop *had* been AKQ, and UTG+1 had the stones to bet it, folding would have been a $35 mistake. Even in the more likely case that he decided to check it down, you'd still miss out on the $9 left in his stack.

Notice also that by saying you'll call almost any flop bet, you're committing yourself to paying off AA-TT after all -- and if you're going to do that, it doesn't really make sense to worry about whether he's got those hands preflop. So the question becomes, does waiting for the flop increase your chances of stacking UTG+1 those times that he doesn't have AA-TT? I don't think it does.