UFC 65 11/18/06

[Mac]

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as much as i'd like gsp to win and hate betting against a fighter/team im a fan of, i can't help but think there is serious value in the -116 pinnacle line


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I'm in the same boat, haven't pulled the trigger on a bet yet. I want to root for GSP, but I like these odds..... what to do, what to do..

[JasonK]

Dumb or not, they're voting with their $ and pushing the price for Hughes down.

[trixtrix]

majority of people here predicted that hughes will be over -200 fav on fight night..

but those guys in the poll are totally f-ckin' uneducated and clueless... good to know

[Oatmeal]

Anyone in the DC area; I'm probably going to be watching this at Summer's in Arlington. Drop me a PM maybe we can get a few 2+2ers together.

[swope]

a lot of people simply want gsp to win, and the UFC Countdown special really harped on how gsp was dominating hughes in their first fight (which is true). its totally unsuprising that money is flying towards gsp, as a lot of people are basing their decision on what is essentially propoganda + a heartfelt disliking of hughes.

same thing as monson v sylvia; the ufc special is really hyping up monson as this totally legit contender to timmays crown, when the truth is that monson has fought NO ONE of timmays caliber in his entire career, no one even close. within hours of this airing, monsons line went from like -230 to -190.

same thing happened with horn v liddell. chuck was like -360, then the UFC countdown special airs with endless, slow mo footage of horn subbing chuck. an hour later, chuck is -280.

the whole point of these UFC countdown specials is to legitimize underdogs and generate interest in what are usually lopsided matchups.

hughes + gsp is something of an exception, since this *is* a totally legit title fight and gsp *does* have the potential to walk away with a belt, but again, you see enough slow-mo footage of gsp nailing hughes with a spinning back kick two years ago, combined with hughes being an insufferable arrogant racist jock every time a camera is on, and you have the makings for a pretty severe line shift.

[apple11]

you gotta be kidding me gsp is legit but monson is not what is the line on Timmay right now id consider throwing more on him.

[swope]

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you gotta be kidding me gsp is legit but monson is not what is the line on Timmay right now id consider throwing more on him.

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im not following you.. youre saying monson at +170 against someone at least ten times more dangerous than anyone he has ever fought in an MMA match is +EV?

[goodsamaritan]

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you gotta be kidding me gsp is legit but monson is not what is the line on Timmay right now id consider throwing more on him.

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im not following you.. youre saying monson at +170 against someone at least ten times more dangerous than anyone he has ever fought in an MMA match is +EV?

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He's saying he wants to put money on Sylvia.

[Kedu]

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combined with hughes being an insufferable arrogant racist jock every time a camera is on, and you have the makings for a pretty severe line shift.

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racist?

[Mac]

2.5 units on Hughes at -114, I just can't help myself...

A lot of me hopes GSP takes it, but the intimidation factor, the 8 month layoff after injury, and the fact that Hughes is a beast are enough to push me Hughes' way.