#1
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(razz) Calling 5th with trips showing
So, I'm not sure how totally I mis-played this. Very strange situation, so I wasn't familiar with numbers. Anyhow, I include thinking on each street below, and as always look forward to criticism.
Tournament - Razz (40/80), Ante 7, Bring-In 10 (converter) Seat 1: 2,259 Seat 2: 813 Seat 3: 853 Hero: 1,273 Seat 5: 1,563 Seat 6: 1,873 Seat 7: 1,443 Seat 8: 1,923 3rd Street - (1.40 SB) Seat 1: xx xx J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]___folds Seat 2: xx xx T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]___folds Seat 3: xx xx 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]___folds Hero: 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]___completes___calls Seat 5: xx xx 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]___folds Seat 6: xx xx A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]___raises Seat 7: xx xx K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]___brings-in___folds Seat 8: xx xx 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]___folds Possibly should've re-raised here; I'm usually like to just call, unless I've seem the villain play stupidly. 4th Street - (5.65 SB) Hero: 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]___calls Seat 6: xx xx A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]___bets Fairly obvious, since we had the double bet on 3rd. 5th Street - (3.83 BB) Hero: 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]___calls Seat 6: xx xx A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]___bets This is the interesting one. I think fold is correct here, since I need two cards after 5th. At the time, I just figured two cards 9 and under isn't too unlikely. 6th Street - (5.83 BB) Hero: 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]___raises Seat 6: xx xx A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]___bets___calls At the time, I was thinking this was a good play because I was likely to get a 9 or lower. However, the actual chance of me getting 9 or lower is probably not enough to make this play. Now I think it's good because it lets me lose the same amount total if I miss 7th, and gain 1 bet if I catch. River - (9.83 BB) Hero: 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]___bets Seat 6: xx xx A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] xx___checks___ I think this bet is questionable. Villain folds to 666 showing ~0% of the time, but possibly will raise on some of the hands which beat mine. However, since the 9 is hidden, I think there will be few times he raises, making this bet correct. Total pot: (11.83 BB - 946) |
#2
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Re: (razz) Calling 5th with trips showing
Uh, none of his hands beat yours. The best hand he can have is T432A and you have a 9.
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#3
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Re: (razz) Calling 5th with trips showing
Also you're a 3:1 dog on 5th. He's going to bet every street except the river, so the pot is laying you 6:2 effective odds, a little better if he does not bet 6th. A call is marginal but I don't think terrible, because you can fold 6th all the times you brick.
The bet on 6th is thin but you *are* a favorite, like 51:49 or something. I'd raise for the tilt factor. |
#4
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Re: (razz) Calling 5th with trips showing
[ QUOTE ]
Uh, none of his hands beat yours. The best hand he can have is T432A and you have a 9. [/ QUOTE ] Oh. Yes. [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]. I knew that at the time...just was going a bit fast when doing the write-up, heh. On 6th, I think you might be right that the "tilt factor" is handy. It sure does look crazy when raising with trips. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] |
#5
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Re: (razz) Calling 5th with trips showing
One of my specialties is losing hands to people showing open trips, by the way, and for that I say, [censored] you very much [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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#6
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Re: (razz) Calling 5th with trips showing
[ QUOTE ]
One of my specialties is losing hands to people showing open trips, by the way, and for that I say, [censored] you very much [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] Heh. I wouldn't think it'd come up that often. I should really do more data-mining of my results, but it seems like the times when open trips are dealt is fairly rare, and when the opponent is showing weak enough cards to stay in the hand is even more rare. You must just be lucky to have that happen to you often. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] |
#7
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Re: (razz) Calling 5th with trips showing
I play a lot of hands. But still, I've had it happen, at most so far, 4 times in one day, 3 of those in one session.
Today I've had 4 rolled up hands dealt to me. I actually won one of them (a steal naturally) with AAA. |
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