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#1
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It is my theory that the following factors this year combine to make it profitable to bet blind against the Yankees in all games except Red Sox matchups:
1) higher than normal parity throughout baseball 2) general overhype of the yanks (standard) 3) dead money coming in by yanks fans (standard) I'm excluding Sox matchups because I feel they are equally overhyped and thus the line won't get as distorted in those games. I will put a unit on these games and track it in this thread. I hope others will join me. |
#2
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DRays +159
YTD 0-0 |
#3
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Betting blind on the Royals
^ | | | Try this one too. mrbaseball has had success with it, though I think perhaps he bet them selectively. |
#4
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Good idea, keep us informed.
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#5
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[ QUOTE ]
Try this one too. mrbaseball has had success with it, though I think perhaps he bet them selectively. [/ QUOTE ] Not exactly blindly. But betting on the Royals and/or against the Yankees often has value due to the hype/anti-hype involved. Depends of course on a lot of different factors but more often than not edges can be found in the undervalued Royals or fading the overvalued Yankees due to public prejudices. |
#6
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are you betting the runline or moneyline
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#7
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[ QUOTE ]
are you betting the runline or moneyline [/ QUOTE ] ML. run line is for n00bs. |
#8
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[ QUOTE ]
It is my theory that the following factors this year combine to make it profitable to bet blind against the Yankees in all games except Red Sox matchups: 1) higher than normal parity throughout baseball 2) general overhype of the yanks (standard) 3) dead money coming in by yanks fans (standard) I'm excluding Sox matchups because I feel they are equally overhyped and thus the line won't get as distorted in those games. I will put a unit on these games and track it in this thread. I hope others will join me. [/ QUOTE ] if the hype is "equal" then why not bet against bosox too? |
#9
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] It is my theory that the following factors this year combine to make it profitable to bet blind against the Yankees in all games except Red Sox matchups: 1) higher than normal parity throughout baseball 2) general overhype of the yanks (standard) 3) dead money coming in by yanks fans (standard) I'm excluding Sox matchups because I feel they are equally overhyped and thus the line won't get as distorted in those games. I will put a unit on these games and track it in this thread. I hope others will join me. [/ QUOTE ] if the hype is "equal" then why not bet against bosox too? [/ QUOTE ] Good point, and I have basically four responses, the first of which is probably the most important. 1. I hate the Yankees more so I will get more joy out of winning money vs. them 2. I think on a day to day basis, more regular money comes in on the Yanks, but when Yanks/Sox get matched up then Boston fans will pay more attention (ie bet more). Thus I think the Yanks/DRays lines are more distorted than Sox/DRays lines, although those are probably distorted too. 3. Ease of administration 4. I'm testing a theory I'd rather not put two units on everyday. |
#10
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] are you betting the runline or moneyline [/ QUOTE ] ML. run line is for n00bs. [/ QUOTE ] No it isn't. |
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