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View Poll Results: Trade D. Jackson for W. Dunn? | |||
Yes |
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1 | 33.33% |
No |
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2 | 66.67% |
Voters: 3. You may not vote on this poll |
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#11
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Put another way, take any 75 year old Grandma you want, ask her to pick the NFL against the spread, and we'd expect in the long run her to get ~50% right, the same as if you flipped a coin to make picks. It's actually hard to truly be much of a "consistent loser" when you aren't factoring in the juice. A few weeks is just a small sample size. It's highly unlikely, for example, that the various sportswriters in the Enquirer over the years have a cumulative record as bad as say, 40% winners (or even close). That's why if you take Bill Simmons, or a Norman Chad in a season when they pick(ed) every single NFL game every week, they invariably end up with a record very close to .500. And you can't acually "act as the bookie" because you have to pay the juice to make your bets.
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#12
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sample size = 4 weeks
no. |
#13
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F the haters. Do you think everyone jumped on the whole gravity bandwagon when Einstein first showed up? True genius is always met with cynicism. Keep fighting the good fight I say.
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#14
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[ QUOTE ]
Coin Flips = 50/50% shot. Your vig: likely -110. 50% <<< 52.4%. DUCY? [/ QUOTE ] FLAWLESS VICTORY. |
#15
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Coin Flips = 50/50% shot. Your vig: likely -110. 50% <<< 52.4%. DUCY? [/ QUOTE ] FLAWLESS VICTORY. [/ QUOTE ] Idiots, you are failing to take into account TRAP GAMES. |
#16
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and she could HAS LOCKS
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#17
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are you saying its bad because you think she'll get hot and start to push back to winning closer to half the games? [/ QUOTE ] oh my goodness. I don't think you should be betting on anything. |
#18
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I will be happy to act as your book for all these games with a reduced juice -107 pricing line on all games.
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#19
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i guess i am an idiot for thinking this might work. there is a guy who writes for the new york post, dave blezow, who has had a losing record for 9 of the last 10 years or something ridiculous like that. i have seen him discussed on forums before with some degree of seriousness. obviously you have to use some discretion and line shopping, but this seems like a good way to get at BSP-style picks. it's even better in this case since women don't know anything about sports.
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#20
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[ QUOTE ]
i guess i am an idiot for thinking this might work. there is a guy who writes for the new york post, dave blezow, who has had a losing record for 9 of the last 10 years or something ridiculous like that. i have seen him discussed on forums before with some degree of seriousness. obviously you have to use some discretion and line shopping, but this seems like a good way to get at BSP-style picks. it's even better in this case since women don't know anything about sports. [/ QUOTE ] NO ITS NOT DUCY? I was torn between that and something about how you're a sexist pig or a comment about sample size being correlated with their small feet for added accuracy. |
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