Cardinals kick field goal instead of going for TD, WTF!!!!

[Greeksquared]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
On the year, Arizona has been in 3rd and 1 or 4th and 1 situations (similar to what they were in on the last play of regulation) 18 times; they successfully convered 16/18 times.

[/ QUOTE ]

Are you suggesting that a 3rd and 1 or 4th and 1 from the 1 yard line is the same as a 3rd or 4th and 1 from anywhere else on the field?

[/ QUOTE ]

It surely is different and thats why I quoted a number around 75% as their "true" success rate, though I still think this is conservative.