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Old 11-20-2007, 02:40 PM
digdeep digdeep is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
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Default Re: No pumpkin pie from Vegas

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digdeep, you're not picking them to win. You seem to be ignoring this.

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I think GB is undervalued at -3. I would rather buy the 1/2 or 1pt and play GB -2.5.

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In your last couple of posts you've talked about GB -3.5 being almost a sure thing and how Detroit is terrible and they won't win. I'm just pointing out that the line is +3.5 for the home team who isn't "horrible."

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Good point - I was really trying to point out that I think DET is overrated - and that GB -3 / 3.5 is undervalued.

NYG was -3 vs. DET last Sunday - I think GB is better than NYG... therefore would have expected GB to be more like -5.
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Old 11-20-2007, 02:43 PM
1MoreFish4U 1MoreFish4U is offline
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Default Re: No pumpkin pie from Vegas

Without going into detail I have Green Bay as a very strong play this week.

They are well positioned to exploit Detroit's weaknesses, whereas Detroit's singular offensive strength is offset by GB defensive strength.

I have GB with a decided edge on both sides of the football.
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