#1
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Early in 50/50, 77 OOP
Villain is 25/13 over 25 hands. 3 hands earlier I cont bet on him for approximately the same proportion of the pot and he folded.
Is it worth getting more deeply involved with this hand? I put him on 66-TT or a few broadway hands. Is it possible he's doing this with a draw or overcards, maybe? I'm not quite sure. I hate this spot. Call, fold or raise? What's running through my mind is that it's very early in the tourney and there will be better spots but am I passing up a +EV play? PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (9 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) SB (t3030) BB (t2530) Hero (t3040) UTG+1 (t2230) MP1 (t1890) MP2 (t2660) MP3 (t3160) CO (t4310) Button (t4130) Preflop: Hero is UTG with 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t90</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP2 calls t90, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>. Flop: (t225) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t150</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises to t450</font>, Hero?. |
#2
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Re: Early in 50/50, 77 OOP
I don't like b/f'ing this flop b/c you have decent equity against his range and you're getting 2.75 to 1 to call his raise. I don't think your implied odds are that good here, but they might be if villain's the type to overplay TP, or an overpair. If u intended to b/f, then checking the flop is def a better line. If u had him on the range u stated, i think c/c the flop is the right play.
You're about 2 to 1 against an overpair and 3 to 1 against a set, and you're flipping with a hand like JT;T9hh. If he's aggro postflop, he could be raising a combo draw. Either way, i don't think that this hand is going to cost you much more than calling the flop raise, since he will slow down on a lot of turns and rivers. You'll only be putting more money in if you're ahead on the turn and river. |
#3
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Re: Early in 50/50, 77 OOP
Snap call, reevaluate on the turn. Let us know the turn.
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#4
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Re: Early in 50/50, 77 OOP
[ QUOTE ]
I don't like b/f'ing this flop b/c you have decent equity against his range and you're getting 2.75 to 1 to call his raise. I don't think your implied odds are that good here, but they might be if villain's the type to overplay TP, or an overpair. If u intended to b/f, then checking the flop is def a better line. If u had him on the range u stated, i think c/c the flop is the right play. You're about 2 to 1 against an overpair and 3 to 1 against a set, and you're flipping with a hand like JT;T9hh. If he's aggro postflop, he could be raising a combo draw. Either way, i don't think that this hand is going to cost you much more than calling the flop raise, since he will slow down on a lot of turns and rivers. You'll only be putting more money in if you're ahead on the turn and river. [/ QUOTE ] Nice post. |
#5
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Re: Early in 50/50, 77 OOP
[ QUOTE ]
Snap call, reevaluate on the turn. Let us know the turn. [/ QUOTE ] I called and flop was Kh and I gave up...check folded. |
#6
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Re: Early in 50/50, 77 OOP
If you wouldn't mind, his bet size on the turn would be nice. =)
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#7
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Re: Early in 50/50, 77 OOP
[ QUOTE ]
If you wouldn't mind, his bet size on the turn would be nice. =) [/ QUOTE ] Sure thing. He bet 700. Seemed like he know how to build a pot and Ijust couldn't justify continuing at this stage of the game. I just wasn't sure where I was and I might be drawing dead. Hate this flop spot and really was thinking I should have laid down. I guess it's pretty cut and dry here...hit on turn or give up, right? |
#8
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Re: Early in 50/50, 77 OOP
I think you made the right play by calling the flop. On the turn, I don't think you're drawing dead, but it doesn't look good. An overcard just fell and he's still betting about 3/4 of the pot. Any reads on postflop aggression? It does look like he's protecting, rather than bluffing. If he was drawing, your call of his raise is likely to induce a check for a free card. Unless you went into the tank and essentially told him you're weak; which is why I said "snap call". C/f turn looks right.
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