#1
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Swings in NLCASH
Can anyone with experience comment on swings/variance in headsup cash games? I'm a sixmax player and have 5-7 buyin downswings with the occasional 10-12 buyin downer. How much 'worse' can I expect it to be in headsup? Thanks for any advice...
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#2
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Re: Swings in NLCASH
Really depends on your style and your stakes.
I think if the stakes are reasonably low and your style isn't too aggressive/bluffy most of your downswings will be in the neighborhood of 5-10 BIs. |
#3
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Re: Swings in NLCASH
Ok, yeah, I should have given a little more info. I'm playing .50/1 and 1/2, pretty snug, not a whole lot of bluffing.
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#4
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Re: Swings in NLCASH
I'm interested in this too.
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#5
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Re: Swings in NLCASH
I'm not great but i'm a winner at .5/1 and have had an 18bi downswing already..it really just depends on how you control tilt and stuff and if you have and can stick to a stop/loss...also how well you game select...but i dont think 20 bi downswings are impossible for even decent players. But day to day variance, you shouldnt let losing 5 or 6 buy ins affect you cos that will become sooo standard
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#6
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Re: Swings in NLCASH
I've played around 25k hands of mostly 0.5/1 and a little of .25/.5 and 1/2 and I would say that if you play solid and table-select good swings of more than 7-8 BuyIns should be pretty uncommon
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#7
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Re: Swings in NLCASH
5/10 player here. I'm something close to 50/35. One sec, I'll grab my October graph.
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#8
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Re: Swings in NLCASH
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#9
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Re: Swings in NLCASH
by 'swings' you mean swongs right?
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#10
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Re: Swings in NLCASH
According to my simulations even a 50 buy-in downswing is possible with a stable winrate of 8 PTBB/100 (no tilting/other psychological defects allowed) although it'll be extremely rare. That is for a player whose standard deviation per 100 hands is about 75PTBB/100. 20BI downswings seem to be quite common.
I have been researching variance in heads up poker lately and I'll probably share my simulator with you once it is easier to use. |
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