#1
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2 satellite bubble hands
These hands come from a $109 turbo satellite on FTP. Top 5 get seats. The big stack has been pretty much shoving every hand.
Hand 1: Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold'em Tournament, 600/1,200 Blinds, 150 Ante, 6 Players LegoPoker Hand History Converter BB: 5,151 UTG: 9,160 MP: 33,984 CO: 10,145 BTN: 8,065 Hero (SB): 2,495 Pre-Flop: (2,700) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB) 4 folds, <font color="red">Hero ...</font> Hand 2: Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold'em Tournament, 800/1,600 Blinds, 200 Ante, 6 Players LegoPoker Hand History Converter UTG: 12,804 MP: 6,660 CO: 39,331 BTN: 4,045 SB: 2,765 Hero (BB): 3,395 Pre-Flop: (3,600) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB) 2 folds, <font color="red">CO raises to 39,131 and is All-In</font>, Hero ... ? |
#2
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Re: 2 satellite bubble hands
Hand 1 Fold
Hand 2 I think you have to call |
#3
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Re: 2 satellite bubble hands
1- Shove- first into the pot... BB is small too. You need to steal the 2700
2- call... his range could be anything? pretty standard stuff... |
#4
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Re: 2 satellite bubble hands
[ QUOTE ]
1- Shove- first into the pot... BB is small too. You need to steal the 2700 [/ QUOTE ] Not much chance he'll fold to a minraise shove, eh? [ QUOTE ] 2- call... his range could be anything? [/ QUOTE ] I know his range could be anything, but AQo is 64% against a random hand. Are the chances of somebody else busting before I do if I fold greater than 64%, because that's what matters here. pretty standard stuff... [/ QUOTE ] |
#5
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Re: 2 satellite bubble hands
SB is going to be AI next hand, he has 2 hands left and he's out of chips. You have 5 hands left. If CO is shoving every hand, we can figure SB has a 50/50 chance of busting next hand. However, if SB wins the next hand, you are totally screwed because you'll have 595 chips left, and you will need to win one AI before the BB gets to you again and then another when you're in the BB to stay alive. You can do the math and think ok, so 50% of the time SB wins, and of those times, I have to win 2 50/50s which will happen 1/4 of the time, so 62.5% of the time when I fold the AQo hand I get a seat (I'm being really generous, because they may tag team you when you stick the last 500 in there.) BTN can actually last 8 more hands, so he's not in any danger unless you and SB pull off a miracle. Anyway, the point of this is that I think the AQ is probably a call, but it's really close.
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