NL100 (deep): Floaty-Bluffy McSpew, or gooot?

[Stonewalled]

Villain is 42/20/3.5. I play with him a lot live, and despite his numbers, he is weak/tight when it comes to playing big pots. I have bluffed him a lot on prior occasions and made him lay down big hands against me. He has, however, started to adjust and call me down a little lighter. His image of me is loose, very aggro. Still, he's susceptible to bluffs. Also, he doesn't usually bet 2/3+ the pot on any street without a fairly strong hand.

The cutoff has been playing pretty snug and passive.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button ($107.30)
SB ($224.10)
BB ($114.40)
UTG ($31.10)
Hero ($184.15)
CO ($101.30)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $4</font>, CO calls $4, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $10</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls $6, CO calls $6.

Flop: ($31) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $20</font>, Hero calls $20, CO folds.

Turn: ($71) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $45</font>, SB calls $45.

River: ($161) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $109.15 (All-In)</font>

[Stonewalled]

I should add that Villain would not likely call a large bet with just a draw. Thus, I put him on an overpair after he called my turn bet (I actually had him on an overpair after he bet the flop, but the turn call confirmed it in my mind).

[yellowbastard]

I think he mucks TT+ there often enough

[Claunchy]

This is pretty read-based, so it's hard to really say. But it seems okay.

[pineapple888]

what's with his weak 3-bet pre? cause it sure looks like AA/KK in a vacuum and if he's started to look you up this may not be a good spot to bluff.

[Pete H]

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He has, however, started to adjust and call me down a little lighter.

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Also, he doesn't usually bet 2/3+ the pot on any street without a fairly strong hand.


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That's already enough information.

Did you happen to notice that he mini 3-bet pf and made a CB into 2 players on the flop? I suppose not as you called with a player yet to act.

You'll find better spots to float than this.

[cgm93]

I can see a nice overpair, AA-JJ, one of which is a heart. That line makes sense. He slowed down on the turn when the flush came, but still called your 2/3 bet.

[Stonewalled]

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what's with his weak 3-bet pre? cause it sure looks like AA/KK in a vacuum and if he's started to look you up this may not be a good spot to bluff.

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He's habitually an extremely weak bettor. His standard pf raise is 2x-3x.

[Stonewalled]

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Did you happen to notice that he mini 3-bet pf and made a CB into 2 players on the flop? I suppose not as you called with a player yet to act.

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Yes, I noticed. As I said, after his flop bet I thought he had an overpair. I wasn't too worried about the player left to act here b/c he had been pretty passive, too, thus the likelihood of him raising behind was pretty small. If he calls, that's good for me with my pair + gs.

[Pete H]

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Did you happen to notice that he mini 3-bet pf and made a CB into 2 players on the flop? I suppose not as you called with a player yet to act.

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Yes, I noticed. As I said, after his flop bet I thought he had an overpair. I wasn't too worried about the player left to act here b/c he had been pretty passive, too, thus the likelihood of him raising behind was pretty small. If he calls, that's good for me with my pair + gs.

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How is it good if you have two players to bluff out of the hand?

You only have a gutshot on the flop and no odds to draw. If the passive player calls, he may have a flush draw which makes things much worse.

If the aces are outs for you, the main villain probably won't pay off with KK.

People don't like to fold overpairs and you think he's started to call you down lighter, just fold the flop and wait for a hand.