#1
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Push with the nut flush draw...
I think this is standard
Line Check. Villain ran at 41/8 FA of 0.64 WTSD of 39 WSD of 31 So even though he'd probably call me more often, I think i'm +EV even if called. That said does his flop raise scare you? Party Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players LegoPoker Hand History Converter BB: $24.99 UTG: $117.16 CO: $56.12 BTN: $61.22 Hero (SB): $64.43 Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB) UTG calls $0.50, CO folds, BTN calls $0.50, <font color="red">Hero raises to $3</font>, BB folds, UTG calls $2.50, BTN folds Flop: ($7) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $7.00</font>, <font color="red">UTG raises to $14</font>, Hero raises to $61 and is all-in |
#2
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Re: Push with the nut flush draw...
After UTGs minraise I don't think we have much fold equity in this spot. Villain could easily have 22 or a small flush already. I would call and get it all in on the turn if a club falls and fold if we don't improve and villain pots it.
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#3
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Re: Push with the nut flush draw...
This play is +EV, just not by a whole lot.
I'd also prefer reraising to like 44, it makes it look more like you're value betting. |
#4
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Re: Push with the nut flush draw...
I believe this is the best way to play this hand against this opponent
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#5
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Re: Push with the nut flush draw...
His stats (FA = flop aggression?) are those of a calling station. When stations min-raise its usually bad news. You have the nut flush and getting great odds to draw. If a club falls on the turn I expect you to get his stack often.
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#6
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Re: Push with the nut flush draw...
[ QUOTE ]
His stats (FA = flop aggression?) are those of a calling station. When stations min-raise its usually bad news. You have the nut flush and getting great odds to draw. If a club falls on the turn I expect you to get his stack often. [/ QUOTE ] that'd be hard if he didn't have a club right? |
#7
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Re: Push with the nut flush draw...
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] His stats (FA = flop aggression?) are those of a calling station. When stations min-raise its usually bad news. You have the nut flush and getting great odds to draw. If a club falls on the turn I expect you to get his stack often. [/ QUOTE ] that'd be hard if he didn't have a club right? [/ QUOTE ] Agree but I think his min raise is likely to be a set or a made flush a significant proportion of the time. I wouldn't be surprised if villain would stack off with a set. |
#8
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Re: Push with the nut flush draw...
nobody folds a set, but how often does he have one? If this was a TAG i could understand that logic but against this villain i think i see random junk often.
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#9
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Re: Push with the nut flush draw...
std, hard and fast baby. nh.
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#10
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Re: Push with the nut flush draw...
Obviously a lot depends on your read here. I see that flop aggression of 0.64 so thats why I think his min raise is strong. If it is a small sample or you believe this could be done with random junk then I'm pushing like 100% of the time.
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