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#1
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Re: How\'s my line?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] You have some showdown value and you only have to be right here 25% of the time to break even on this call. [/ QUOTE ] Explain please, I dont get the math stuff [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] When we need to make a decision at the end, there's $15 in the pot. Say we call four times and we lose 3 of them, we lose a total of 3 x $5 = 15$. The fourth we win, and we win the $15 dollars in the pot to break even. So winning once of every 4 times that we call is sufficient to break even. |
#2
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Re: How\'s my line?
Its a thin spot but you'll see a mid PP here a decent amount of the time, and your odds are good. I call and reload.
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#3
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Re: How\'s my line?
On the math part. You have to call 5 dollar in a 15 dollar pot. That is 1:3. So 1/(1+3) = 1/4 = 25% is needed to be good.
Other example: If you have to call 10 dollar in 15 dollar pot, you are getting 2:3. So you need 2/(2+3) = 40% to break even. This is the reason minbetting vulnerable hands on dangerous boards is bad. Say your opponent holds AA on a 2 flush board , you hold the nutflush draw, the pot is $2. Villain bets $0,20 into that pot " to extract value". You now have to win the pot 0,2/(0,2+2,2) = 1/12 ~ 8%. Since you will make your flush 33% of times you can profitably draw to the flush. If villain bets pot, you need 2/(2+2)=50% to break even and a call based on pot odds alone is not justified. Of course other reason for calling may be compelling, such as implied odds and position. |
#4
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Re: How\'s my line?
thx so much for the help [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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#5
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Re: How\'s my line?
This is real thin. It'd be an easy call if the diamonds hadn't completed. And it'd be a little easier if you had AJ.
As is I'm not really sure it matters too much. I think I'd take a quick peak at his river aggression and make a decision based on that. |
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