#11
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Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
[ QUOTE ]
Basbeball Prospectus Odds report 67% chance of a 2 way tie, 17% chance of a 3 way tie, 5% chance of a 4 way tie. No mention of the 5 tie, probably so slim it's negligible. [/ QUOTE ] Well if you assume every team is 50/50 to win each game, the odds of the Mets/Phillies/DBacks/Padres/Rockies tying at 89-73 is (1/16)^4 |
#12
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Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
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Basbeball Prospectus Odds report 67% chance of a 2 way tie, 17% chance of a 3 way tie, 5% chance of a 4 way tie. No mention of the 5 tie, probably so slim it's negligible. [/ QUOTE ] Just checked it, they must have added this: "and a 0.8% chance of a five-way tie" |
#13
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Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Basbeball Prospectus Odds report 67% chance of a 2 way tie, 17% chance of a 3 way tie, 5% chance of a 4 way tie. No mention of the 5 tie, probably so slim it's negligible. [/ QUOTE ] Just checked it, they must have added this: "and a 0.8% chance of a five-way tie" [/ QUOTE ] lol, i'm retarded |
#14
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Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
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OK, this would be pretty awesome. I want the Mets, Phillies, DBacks, Padres and Rockies all to finish with an 89-73 record. Either that, or the Mets, Phillies Braves finish with an 87-75 record instead. [/ QUOTE ] Why? Does that help your team, or do you just like confusion? |
#15
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Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
ok, 144/(16^4) looks better.
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#16
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Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] OK, this would be pretty awesome. I want the Mets, Phillies, DBacks, Padres and Rockies all to finish with an 89-73 record. Either that, or the Mets, Phillies Braves finish with an 87-75 record instead. [/ QUOTE ] Why? Does that help your team, or do you just like confusion? [/ QUOTE ] You don't find 5 teams tying for the wild-card even mildly intriguing? |
#17
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Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
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You don't find 5 teams tying for the wild-card even mildly intriguing? [/ QUOTE ] Sure, I just wasn't sure whether such a scenario was somehow beneficial to a particular team. |
#18
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Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
Well, everyone won except the Brewers/Mets
This is going to come down to the wire |
#19
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Re: Four games to sort seven teams into four spots!
Damn, no more chance for a five way tie. It is going to be one wild weekend. It will be interesting to see how it all unfolds.
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