Lucky 97

[Hince]

I'm starting to see where my reasoning is flawed.

My thinking (at the time) was that he would call with a queen if I fired again a lot of the time, and I would have a difficult river decision in a bigger pot. His turn bet suprised me, but I didn't think the turn helped him. I figured that I have a good amount of fold equity, and if he did have a good hand he would pay me off on the river if he calls. If he raises, I'm basically committed and hopefully I suck out.

The problem is that this villain has shown no signs of being a floater, or being aggressive. So his range on the turn is a lot narrower, and my fold equity lower. It's probably a mistake to commit my stack in such a small pot against a player with a narrow range. I mean, I don't think he fires a lone queen here. He is either on a total bluff or has at least TP. He might fold a lone ace... but probably not that often.

I think this is a case of FPS. Against good aggro players, I like this play a lot more because this is a weak hand more often.

Does this sound better?