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Old 08-10-2007, 01:06 PM
Joost1982 Joost1982 is offline
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Default Re: Chances someone has an ace (or any other holding)

Thanks for the calculations!
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Old 08-10-2007, 02:27 PM
AngusThermopyle AngusThermopyle is offline
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Default Re: Chances someone has an ace (or any other holding)

When the probabilities are small, adding them together (which is what multiplying by 6 is doing) does not introduce significant errors, so it suffices for ballpark computations.

When the probabilities are large, you can see where there are problems.

Six handed game:
Odds a specific player is suited: 12/51 , or around 24%.
Using your method to find odds that at least one player is suited would give around 6*24 = 144%, which is clearly false.
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