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You're right, I didn't use the correct equity we had in the hand. Here's the math when done right (I hope the second time around :S).
Board: Th 8h 3d 2s Hand 0: 67.769% { TT+, 88, ATs, KTs, QTs, Qh9h, J9s+, T9s, 9h7h } Hand 1: 32.231% { AhJh } Pot Size = 128 + 71 = 199 Left to Shove = 400 - 16 - 36 = 348 Final Pot Size = 800 P(fold) = X EV(0) = X(199) + (1-X)(0.32*800-348) X = 32%. With 25% equity we get EV(0) = X(199) + (1-X)(0.25*800-348) X = 43%, like you said. |
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