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#1
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$1060 WSOP ME mega satellite at Rio, 2nd level (50/100).
Villain has about 4500, I cover. Villain has only turned up about 15 minutes ago, he is probably around 35-40 slick black hair, glasses, open-shirt and jacket. He has been in a few pots already, usually limping in pre-flop then calling or folding post, he hasnt seen a show down yet and I dont think he has raised pre or post flop either. Firstly, what can I infer from this? Playing somewhere inbetween typical old guy and young internet guy? Ive been relatively inactive and card dead but we are only about 45minutes in, taken down a few pots but nothing spectacular. Blinds 50/100 Villain 4750, I just cover. So to the hand, I get AhJh UTG+1 and make it 300, he calls in MP. Everyone else folds. Flop J52r I bet 450, he raises to 1450 (with around 3k behind). Given little information about villain, Im going with range of something like set, QQ, JT, QJ, KJ, AJ. I definately expect most players to r/r AA,KK pre and many older ones to call QQ pre to EP raise. Should I just push here? Expecting him to call with his whole range? Most of these players dont seem good and I would not expect almost anyone at my table to consider laying down top pair, ever. If I call I would expect this guy (from my impression of his look) to push QQ and set on turn and check a J (maybe pushing AJ). Not sure if he is capable of bluff raising me full stop but I also dont think he will push in as a bluff on the turn. I call, looking to avoid T,Q,K. Turn 9d. Check, check. River Qd. I bet 1200. Too thin? Im pretty sure I butchered this hand so any advice appreciated. |
#2
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From your description he doesn't sound very good. I probably would have just stuck it in on the flop. I don't like that river bet.
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#3
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standard play is to push on the flop, but live against some special opponents you can fold. I'd never just call with so little behind, giving the dude a chance at two free cards for no reason.
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#4
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I like pushing the flop, but I also like calling the flop and pushing any turn (K or Q are scary, but doesn't matter given how short he is). Regardless, all your chips need to be in the middle by the end of your turn action IMO.
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#5
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Shove the flop.
This guy is going to have trouble laying down JT/QJ and you are stacking KJ. I agree that against some players this is a fold... but mr. limp-caller is not one of those players. |
#6
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What worried me most about this hand was a guy who had shown zero aggression is suddenly raising me. In retrospect I think its a really easy push and I was a bit gutted when he showed me KhQh.
Guessing my read on these mid-30s to 40s guys isn't too accurate right now. |
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