#1
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NL50 - misplayed combo draw?
Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)
<font color="black">Hero (SB): $64.70</font> BB: $50.00 UTG: $47.20 CO: $48.50 BTN: $49.55 <font color="black">Reads: </font><font color="blue">Villain is 23/8/2.7 over 96 hands; felted JTo on JT9 flop only to be rivered. semibluffed flop and turn with 1 card OESD A8s on 679x and checked A river. So capable of semibluffing and felting made hands.</font> should i felt flop? I was concerned on the turn bet i could be vs a strong made hand and/or a better FD, and if i hit a 5/spade i may not have had the odds (call 20 to win 70 i thought at time). <font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (5 Players) UTG calls $0.50, CO calls $0.50, BTN folds, Hero calls $0.25, BB checks <font color="black">Flop:</font> ($2) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (4 Players) Hero checks, BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="red">CO bets $1.50</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $8.00</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to $15.50</font>, 2 folds, Hero calls $7.50 <font color="black">Turn:</font> ($34.50) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero checks, <font color="red">BB bets $20.50</font>, [i]Hero...[/b] |
#2
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Re: NL50 - misplayed combo draw?
the odds here are close...
But i think that: shove flop > cold call |
#3
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Re: NL50 - misplayed combo draw?
I think you might have raised too much on the flop, but beside that, this is a tough spot. This being a limped pot, I really dont like putting all this money in on a draw. I thinkt he right play is to call like you did and fold the turn.
I bet however that if we assign a reasonable (wide) handrange here, im guessing it will look like were a favorite. But I also feel villains hands have to be in the upper edge of his range. |
#4
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Re: NL50 - misplayed combo draw?
what do you make him for - 2 pair, straight, set? is a bigger FD in his range? let's triangulate a stove range to see whether flop call or calling turn bet is goot...
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#5
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Re: NL50 - misplayed combo draw?
I'd felt this on the flop, but as played, turn is either a fold or shove IMO. I'd lean toward a fold.
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#6
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Re: NL50 - misplayed combo draw?
[ QUOTE ]
what do you make him for - 2 pair, straight, set? is a bigger FD in his range? let's triangulate a stove range to see whether flop call or calling turn bet is goot... [/ QUOTE ] I second this request (no stove available or id do it) I really feel like due to this being a 5 man flop, his range is almost precisely what you posted above, including combo draws and better flush draws. |
#7
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Re: NL50 - misplayed combo draw?
and thats why i only called the check-3b by villain on the flop.
tell ya what, just ending a session. gimme 30mins and i'll do it then. |
#8
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Re: NL50 - misplayed combo draw?
This is just a quick go (not many combinations of better FDs)
Board: 2h 3s 6s Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 40.051% 39.95% 00.10% 16216 40.50 { 7s4s } Hand 1: 59.949% 59.85% 00.10% 24293 40.50 { 66, 33-22, Qs9s, Qs5s, 63s-62s, 54s, 63o-62o, 54o } |
#9
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Re: NL50 - misplayed combo draw?
I would guess the villian is not on a flush draw, but rather a made hand that will lose to a flush or a straight. He is trying to price you out, which he has done well on the turn. You should fold.
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