#1
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2$: 83o flop BP and FD
Is this okay or just plain dumb ?
Button is very loose player Full Tilt Poker No Limit Holdem Tournament Blinds: t120/t240 4 players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: t3420 Button: t6400 SB: t1780 Hero: t1900 Pre-flop: (4 players) Hero is BB with 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] UTG folds, Button calls t240 <font color="aaaaaa">(pot was t360)</font>, SB calls t120 <font color="aaaaaa">(pot was t600)</font>, Hero checks. Flop: 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (t720, 3 players) SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero is all-in t1660</font> |
#2
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Re: 2$: 83o flop BP and FD
Looks a bit too risky for my taste
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#3
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Re: 2$: 83o flop BP and FD
[ QUOTE ]
just plain dumb [/ QUOTE ] Is the button a very loose *caller?* this is a pretty spooky board, but if someone flops the nut flush they usually don't push, they check, hoping to get more money into the pot. Think about it...there aren't a lot of hands that can draw to beat you so it's a perfect time to slow-play. almost very time you're called, you're beat. I don't have a calculator up, but I don't think this is +EV I mean , say you do get called by something like Qd Ac, you're still drawing to seven outs. I c/f. |
#4
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Re: 2$: 83o flop BP and FD
Well, we are asuming noone has AQ in this situation...
But you are right about worst case scenario, someone has better pair + better FD, then we'd be screwed. Asuming noone has that tho, we're taking down the pot alot, and racing something like QT or (worst case again) QJ. Check Stack sizes also, we could really use this pot... edit: If called: vs QT (no FD) 50% - 50% vs QT (T for FD) 15% - 85% vs QJ 40% - 60% vs Ax (A for FD) 50% - 50% looks pretty good to me, tons of other hands are folding and I'm taking it down. |
#5
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Re: 2$: 83o flop BP and FD
ugh...i don't like it. I'm checking with the hope of checking it all the way down. No turn makes me feel better, only a perfect runner-runner
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#6
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Re: 2$: 83o flop BP and FD
[ QUOTE ]
ugh...i don't like it. I'm checking with the hope of checking it all the way down. No turn makes me feel better, only a perfect runner-runner [/ QUOTE ] Runner-runner 3, 3 ? so c/f is the line ? |
#7
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Re: 2$: 83o flop BP and FD
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] ugh...i don't like it. I'm checking with the hope of checking it all the way down. No turn makes me feel better, only a perfect runner-runner [/ QUOTE ] Runner-runner 3, 3 ? so c/f is the line ? [/ QUOTE ] That's my line barring a miracle |
#8
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Re: 2$: 83o flop BP and FD
CHECK/FOLD.
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