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Old 01-26-2007, 06:11 AM
sahaguje sahaguje is offline
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Join Date: May 2003
Location: Paris France
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Default Re: Two AA hands - ULTRA-deep 1/2 and 3/6

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The 3rd barrel is NOT horrible.

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what's good about it? Value bet? Hardly. Bluff? Hardly.

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I disagree ; against a lot of players you have a very good chance to take the pot on the river. More importantly, I do not have to courage to do the math, but it is a simple question of game theory here (nuts or total bluff vs. hand that can only beat a bluff). You should actually bet pot on the river a decent amount of time here, since you obviously want to bet the pot almost every time with the nuts ; not bluffing here would make you very easy to beat in the long run.

(And if you are used to betting less than pot with nuts, maybe half pot, then you should also increase your bluffing proportion accordingly).

If someone wants to give the precise numbers (I think they are in Ciaffone/reuben and in the mathematics of poker)
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