To hedgers: Adding insult to injury

[DonkeyKongSr]

I won $840 vs. $890 if Miami won. I must suck because I gave up $160 so that I guaranteed $840. Hedging sucks. Not...I was 1 unlikely interception from seeming like a genius. $160? I could give a [censored]. $840? Very nice.

[metsandfinsfan]

explain how you hedged and still guaranteed 840

[thing85]

YEAH OMG AND PLZ PM ME WITH REFERRALS.

[DonkeyKongSr]

As posted elsewhere, I came in at the exact right time, took advantage of the Casinocashulimited $250 bonus (no referral needed, but entering DaveyG013 would be nice if you do sign up) and I got this...

[ QUOTE ]
$1100 at Mansion and $550 ($500 cash+$50 bonus) at Sports Interaction with Pick on each side at both places gets you (assuming -110 payment on bets and disregarding the unlikely Tie that leads to a push):

Pittsburgh Win:
+1000 on Mansion
+90 signup bonus through Pokersavvy
-500 on SI
+250 from CCU
------
+$840



Miami Win:
+0 on Mansion
+90 signup bonus through Pokersavvy
+550 on SI (you will get the $500 win and the $50 signup bonus)
+250 from CCU
----
+$890

[/ QUOTE ]

Now, I've already withdrawn my Mansion money (minus $100 that I'll donk off there as appreciation) and need to wait on Pokersavvy and CCU to fulfill the rest.

[E.Z.]

SI is sports interaction correct?? what is CCU.

didnt do what you did but would like to in the future

[E.Z.]

pzhon, it was EV to hedge if you got a nice kickback or sign up bonus elsewhere with the same line or better... end of story.
we got lucky as F*ck with a pick 6 when miami had 0 timeouts

[pzhon]

[ QUOTE ]
pzhon, it was EV to hedge if you got a nice kickback or sign up bonus elsewhere with the same line or better... end of story.

[/ QUOTE ]
Oh, and those +EV sign up bonuses elsewhere couldn't have been used at any other time, and required you to bet exactly what was needed to hedge 100%? What an unbelievable coincidence. I thought most of you had made a common, understandable error, and instead you were all optimizing perfectly. My bad; carry on. <font color="white">When was the last time someone admitted being wrong on the internet? </font>

[SoCalRugger]

[ QUOTE ]
SI is sports interaction correct?? what is CCU.

didnt do what you did but would like to in the future

[/ QUOTE ]
I've been less than impressed with SIA so far. I deposited $900 today so that I could work through the referral bonus over the next week or two. The $900 was deducted from Neteller, but never showed up in my SIA account balance. Their Live Chat is disabled, I can't get through to phone support, and I've received no response to my e-mail...

[smak]

Why would somebody who would never bet more than $5 on sports, want to risk not winning $500 or whatever the amount was on the game, when the almost worst scenario almost happened.

Which is, pittsburgh with a 9-11 point lead playing prevent defense, and allowing Miami to score a meaningless touchdown.

After luckboxing two scores to even get it to a win for -4.5 and -5 bettors, that could have easily happened.

That's why I don't bet on football in the first place, and why a hedge, especially with the Rothlisberger getting hurt was the right move for a lot of people.

[pzhon]

[ QUOTE ]
Hedging sucks. Not...I was 1 unlikely interception from seeming like a genius.

[/ QUOTE ]
It sounds like you missed the point. Hedging might be right for you (and I seriously considered hedging), but hedging close to 100% is unlikely to be right for any advantage gambler. Did you choose hedging so much because it was better than not hedging, or because you considered and rejected all smaller hedge amounts?