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Re: Down to 13 on $55K rebuy. Insta push here?
Play is not wrong - but I would have waited for a better spot.
UTG - so 6 players have a chance to find a hand after u act. The big stacks and the short stack button will probably call with pairs above 6, plus AK,AQ,AJ and KQ and maybe some larger suited connectors. I guestimate u are about a 65% chance of geting a call and say a 35/65 dog if called - So 35% of the time u pick up the blinds - roughly $70k 23% of the time u double up - roughly $360K 42% of the time u lose your stack - -$290k According to my maths that makes it a -ev play. I would wait wait - I can see pocket JJ's in two hands!! |
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