Beat: 26BI downswing when moving down to fix leaks.

[ronitonline]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
the 30-35k hands is including my downswing (was only 4-5BI but some bad plays).

[/ QUOTE ]
Ah, ok. That makes it more more plausible that you are a winning NL $100 player.

[ QUOTE ]

my current downswing is way beyond any recognizable std dev (-19PTBB/100 over 7k hands), I think there is no argument that a lot of this downswing is probably from bad runs.


[/ QUOTE ]
That is much lower than a plausible losing rate. However, it's much more likely that you can find some period (starting with hand 1) in which you are 3 standard deviations below average than that you will do in a fixed period. So, it's not clear that this is an outrageously bad streak as opposed to just uncommonly bad.

However, there is a potential benefit. In case you are a losing player, losing rapidly saved you a lot of time.

[/ QUOTE ]

Haha I don't know if I wanted to save time [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]
I do believe I was a winning NL100 player, maybe 6PTBB/100 was above my actual winrate but I believe I was still a winning player.
I have definitely ran bad in the last 7k hands but it can't be all that, and I know it isnt all that, but even if I was playing pretty bad, with my understanding of the game and perticipation on this forum over the last 2 years, etc. Being a -19PTBB/100 at NL25 is clearly some sort of bad run, weather this type of run will eventually happen to everyone, I am not firmiiar with stats enough to figure that out. (Although I am taking a stats class this semester with a horrid instructor so its hard to apply it to real life because she sucks at explaining anything, but I have a 100% average in the class !! ;D )