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According to ICM: it\'s correct to fold AA on this bubble
According to ICM: it's correct to fold AA on this bubble
i ran into a weird situation and i want to know if my reasoning is correct 9 players SNG {.5,.3,.2} 4 players left, suppose everyone have the same stack 3375, blinds are 200/400 we are BB Co go all-in, Button calls, SB calls we have AA. My reasoning, We fold and we are against 1 winners (forget about split pot) Our stack 3375-BB=2900 ICM: .34 him 10125+BB=10525 ICM: .45 We Call and win they tourney ICM = .50 We loose on the bubble ICM = 0 So considering this, to make calling > folding we must have an equity superior than 68% .34 =< eq*.50 where eq =< 68% Well against all logical ranges it's impossible to get 68% against 3 players on this spot so good fold? |
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