NL400 thin value shove???

OneFive · #1 11-15-2007, 02:45 PM

Villain is 26/15/2.5 over 1800 hands. My notes on him say, min check raises sets and made a really questionable call with top pair weak kicker on a 4 way flop. I have never seen him show down a major bluff and I don't remember ever seeing him limp/call utg. There are two fish at the table and basically no hand is getting limped around, so at first his limp call confused me, but by the end I think his hand is pretty face up. I'm running tight at 16/12 and have c-bet 90% of the time for about 120 hands at the table, but if he has HUD he probably has me looser than that. I have shown down a bluff in the last 20 hands fwiw. Oh, and he checked all 3 streets very quickly.

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $2/$4
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $400
Hero: $446.25
CO: $881.80
Button: $632.70
SB: $396
BB: $408.45

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is UTG+1 with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
UTG calls, Hero raises to $18, 3 folds, BB calls, UTG calls.

Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($56, 3 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $37, BB folds, UTG calls.

Turn: J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($130, 2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $80, UTG calls.

River: Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($290, 2 players)
UTG checks

He has about 265 left by the river. I was considering 3 options, (although a fourth would be to check behind)1) bet 1/3 of the pot and call a raise 2)straight value bet for about 1/2 pot or 3) Value shove, which may look more like a bluff and he might hero call. I'm pretty sure the only hand I'm worried about here is Q-T. So, what to do on the river?? I think my bet sizing sucks now that I look at it, but at the time I was trying to make it look like a big hand by leaving him about a psb on the river. Comments on all streets appreciated.