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Old 11-15-2007, 07:20 AM
matrix matrix is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: UK
Posts: 7,050
Default Re: 25nl: WTF???

meh - you are about a 40/60 dog vs most ranges. The absolute worst hand for you he can possibly have here is A2dd. to which you are a 22/78 dog.

You can either fold and keep hold of your stack - or push.

Pushing is +EV (but only just) as long as he folds ~8 times/100. he has air way more often than that I think - will call sometimes behind - and we will hit our draw and beat pretty much all of his range fairly often I think.

Calling would suck as if you hit the straight it puts 4 toa on board - you will almost always be facing a bet on the turn regardless of what hits and have to fold if you whiff the turn, and if you make a set there's a chance villain made a straight at the same time...

If you like to gamboooool - push. Tho I'd usually fold here having invested so little in this pot already lookng at not much better than a coinflip in equity.
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